NASCAR at Phoenix: Odds, fantasy advice, prediction, sleepers, drivers to watch for Can-Am 500

Kevin Harvick
Kevin Harvick (Getty Images)

Kevin Harvick is all of a sudden in a precarious spot.

After a win last week at Texas Motor Speedway, Harvick was flying high with a guaranteed spot in the Championship 4 with his eighth win of the season. But Wednesday his future got a little bit murkier.

Harvick was docked 40 points and had his spot in the final four taken away for a spoiler penalty. Now he will have to fight for his playoff life this weekend at ISM Raceway in Phoenix.

The good thing is he is our pick to win this week. Harvick has nine career wins, 15 top-5 finishes and 20 top-10 finishes in his career at the track. He has finished in the top 10 in 64.5 percent of his races in Phoenix. He may be reeling after a penalty, but he is primed to get another win.

Kyle Busch though will present him with stiff competition as he has a win, eight top 5s and 18 top 10s in his career at ISM Raceway. He has finished in the top 10 69.2 percent of the time.

Neither man has a spot locked up in the playoffs so each could take a few more chances trying to get a win.

The Can-Am 500 can be seen Sunday at 2:30 p.m. ET on NBC.

What are the betting odds for Phoenix?

Kevin Harvick 8/5
Kyle Busch 4/1
Martin Truex Jr. 7/1
Chase Elliott 7/1
Kyle Larson 12/1
Brad Keselowski 15/1
Clint Bowyer 15/1
Denny Hamlin 15/1
Erik Jones 20/1
Kurt Busch 20/1
Joey Logano 20/1
Aric Almirola 20/1
Ryan Blaney 25/1
Jimmie Johnson 60/1
Alex Bowman 60/1
Daniel Suarez 80/1
Austin Dillon 100/1
Ryan Newman 300/1
Ricky Stenhouse 300/1
Paul Menard 300/1
William Byron 300/1
Jamie McMurray 300/1
Matt Kenseth 300/1
Chris Buescher 1000/1
AJ Allmendinger 1000/1
Michael McDowell 2000/1
Darrell “Bubba” Wallace Jr. 2000/1
Regan Smith 5000/1
Ty Dillon 2000/1
Field (all others) 1000/1

Which NASCAR drivers are best for your fantasy lineup at Phoenix?

Jimmie Johnson is the only driver in NASCAR anywhere near Harvick among active drivers with career wins at Phoenix. He has four to go with 15 top 5s and 20 top 10s at the track. He also has five top-15 finishes in his last seven races to go with three top 8s.

This looks to be a track young drivers have had a lot of success on and Erik Jones is no exception. Jones has one top 5 and three top 10s in four career starts in Phoenix at the NASCAR level and he has finished in the top 10 in all seven of his tries in the Xfinity Series meaning Jones has finished in the top 10 91 percent of the time in his career at ISM Raceway.

Chase Elliott has had just about as much success as Jones in Phoenix. Elliott has two top 5s and four top 10s in his five career races at ISM. He finished in the top 10 in all five of his runs in the Xfinity Series. He also needs a win to get into the Championship 4, so he could be fighting with Harvick and Busch for the top spot.

Daniel Suarez has not had quite the success of Elliott and Jones, but he has two top 10s in three career races in Phoenix and finished with three top 5s in the Xfinity Series as well. Suarez is out of the playoff hunt, but if he qualifies well he could find his way to yet another top 10.