Mike Glennon ought to see AJ McCarron and assume he’s wanting in a mirror at his (barely) youthful self.
McCarron seems primed to undergo a lot of the identical drama Glennon endured with the Chicago Bears in 2017.
McCarron will formally enter free company in March after a ruling that his first yr within the NFL spent on the NFI listing counted as a yr of service time. He has spent the previous few years backing up Andy Dalton, enjoying sparingly, and turning into one of the fascinating backup quarterbacks within the NFL. In one other yr, McCarron may need been probably the most intriguing identify on the quarterback market, however with Kirk Cousins, Drew Brees, Sam Bradford and Case Keenum all probably testing free company, the excitement surrounding McCarron isn’t buzzing.
When a staff indicators him, the deal might be reported in seemingly monumental figures, as most quarterback offers are. A better take a look at the phrases, nevertheless, will reveal that McCarron is assured a a lot smaller sum. He’ll get a large increase for the 2018 season, positive, however it gained’t be actually constructed for the lengthy-time period. Glennon, for instance, acquired three years, $forty five million in his cope with the Bears. He earned $sixteen million final yr, and can be due one other $four.5 million if Chicago cuts him. For one yr of soccer, $20.5 million isn’t dangerous.
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However in fact, his incomes energy has fallen considerably if the Bears abandon him. His 2017 season will find yourself being a large chunk of his profession earnings. If he will get minimize, a transfer that appears inevitable, Glennon might have to simply accept a deal elsewhere that appears like Brian Hoyer’s contract (three years, $four.four mil) or Matt Schaub’s (two years, $9 million). He could also be nearer to Hoyer’s deal. The Bears have been 1-three underneath Glennon, who accomplished sixty six % of his passes for 833 yards, 4 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Mitchell Trubisky, the second-general decide within the 2017 draft, took over from there.
McCarron’s subsequent 12 months might take comparable twists and turns.
Quite a lot of groups have the cap area to make a non-dedication to McCarron earlier than choosing one other quarterback within the NFL draft. Frankly, they’d be clever to. The Cleveland Browns or the New York Jets, each of which have prime-six alternatives within the upcoming draft, might do to McCarron virtually precisely what the Bears did to Glennon.
However crucial a part of Glennon-ing is that he’ll need to flunk out of the beginning position. That’s the place most individuals will argue that, so far, McCarron has been higher than Glennon. They usually assume McCarron can be higher.
However the comparability isn’t robust of their narrative. They’re additionally comparable statistically.
McCarron has accomplished sixty four.7 % of his passes for 920 yards, six touchdowns and two touchdowns. On 113 makes an attempt, his yards per try has been 6.9 with a 1.5 interception proportion. McCarron additionally had an extra time time fumble on a shotgun snap in his second begin towards the Broncos that misplaced the sport for Bengals. McCarron was clearly at fault for the miscue. He’s received a tiny pattern measurement, partially as a result of the Bengals redshirted McCarron in his rookie season by placing him on the non-soccer damage listing. McCarron was wholesome sufficient to return to the lively roster, however they stored him off the roster and off the sector.
Glennon didn’t take his rookie yr off. However for the sake of argument, let’s give him the identical profit McCarron had. Let’s ignore Glennon’s rookie stats (when he was truly respectable filling in for Josh Freeman). When Glennon hit free company final offseason, he had accomplished fifty nine % of his passes for 1,492 yards, eleven touchdowns and 6 interceptions within the seasons since being a rookie. On 214 makes an attempt, he averaged 7.zero yards per try with a 2.eight interception proportion.
Are we taking a look at monumentally totally different quarterbacks? I’d say it’s time for the Spiderman meme.
McCarron’s physique of labor might be extra spectacular than Glennon’s pattern, regardless of the way you measure it. However McCarron additionally seemed each shade of common that Andy Dalton has been. And naturally, McCarron remained the Bengals’ backup. So logic says that McCarron is not any higher than Dalton, whose mediocrity (and incapability to win playoff video games) is essentially answerable for Cincinatti’s holding sample.
Historical past can also be not on McCarron’s aspect. McCarron turns 28 in September. He joins a handful of gamers who spent most of their profession as a backup earlier than beginning (or making an attempt to start out) elsewhere. Matt Flynn performed properly with the Packers as Aaron Rodgers’ backup earlier than ending up out and in of Seattle. Billy Volek, Shaun Hill and Steve Bono are the opposite ghosts of Glennon’s previous. The likeness to McCarron is slightly haunting.
McCarron isn’t some type of franchise savior. He was the backup to Dalton for a cause. He’ll get the reigns for a corporation — nevertheless it gained’t final lengthy. And subsequent offseason or following one when he’s virtually 30, he’ll be determining which quarterback he prefers to understudy for the next season.