NASCAR at Charlotte: Odds, fantasy advice, prediction, sleepers, drivers to watch

Kevin Harvick
Kevin Harvick (Getty Images)

NASCAR’s first trip to the Roval (half road course, half oval) will be at Charlotte this week and a lot is up for debate.

Will this race play similar to a road course like Watkins Glen with several wide open sections where drivers can pick up some speed, or will it play more like an intermediate track where drivers Martin Truex Jr. and Kevin Harvick have dominated so frequently over the past two years?

The truth probably lies somewhere in the middle, or even a bit beyond that. BET Chicago says the Roval could play 33 percent like Watkins Glen, 33 percent like Charlotte Motor Speedway and another 33 percent like an intermediate course.

That’s a lot to digest, but this is a race where going chalk is probably the best option. Kyle Busch loves Watkins Glen; he’s coming off of a win and he has success on intermediate tracks as well. He’s the betting favorite at 3/1 and will likely be stalking the leader if he’s not out in front.

Truex won at the first road race of the season, Sonoma, which is more challenging of the two road courses in NASCAR. Add that to massive success on intermediate tracks in recent memory and he has a great chance to win.

But this week we are going with Kevin Harvick at 8/1. Harvick is tied with Busch for the most wins this season (7), he is coming off of a runner-up at Richmond and he has wins on intermediate tracks in Atlanta, Las Vegas and Kansas already this season. 

The Bank of America Roval 400 is scheduled for 2 p.m. ET Sunday and can be watched on NBC.

What are the betting odds for Charlotte?

Kyle Busch 3/1
Martin Truex Jr. 5/1
Brad Keselowski 8/1
Kevin Harvick 8/1
Chase Elliott 8/1
Joey Logano 10/1
Clint Bowyer 10/1
Kurt Busch 15/1
Denny Hamlin 15/1
Daniel Suarez 20/1
Kyle Larson 20/1
Jimmie Johnson 25/1
Ryan Blaney 25/1
Erik Jones 25/1
AJ Allmendinger 30/1
Jamie McMurray 40/1
Michael McDowell 50/1
Alex Bowman 60/1
Aric Almirola 60/1
Paul Menard 100/1
Ryan Newman 100/1
Chris Buescher 100/1
Austin Dillon 300/1
William Byron 300/1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 300/1
Trevor Bayne 500/1
Regan Smith 500/1
Ty Dillon 500/1
Darrell “Bubba” Wallace Jr. 500/1
Field (all others) 200/1

Which NASCAR drivers are best for fantasy lineup at Charlotte?

Chase Elliott (8/1) won at Watkins Glen, finished fourth at Sonoma, has a top-11 finish at Charlotte and is coming off of a fourth place at Richmond last week. Elliott is hanging around the cutline for the second round of the playoffs in ninth and he will be pushing for a good finish as well. 

Would it be a road course odds post without mentioning AJ Allmendinger? The 36-year-old is always at or near the top of the standings in Watkins Glen, has success at Sonoma and loves being aggressive on those types of courses. The Charlotte Roval could play right into his hands.

Jimmie Johnson sits outside the cutline for the second round of the playoffs in 14th, but with an experienced postseason driver like Johnson, he could easily find his way in. He loves driving in Charlotte with eight career wins on the course, he also finished fifth there earlier this year, and he is coming off of an eighth-place finish in Richmond. He’s more than smart enough to find his way to the top of the contenders this week.

Erik Jones drove great at Watkins Glen earning a fifth-place finish earlier this season, he has five top-10 finishes on intermediate tracks this year, and his car has been running very well in recent weeks as he won the pole at Las Vegas. His car did have some trouble in Richmond, though, as he struggled to move up after falling back, but he still found a way to fight for 11th place. He is also sitting outside the cutline for the second round at 15th.